Calling: San Diego 2026 - Oldhim (SAGE)

Oldhim

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Marcus Brown

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.9

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Mak Kallas (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs John Cooper (Terra) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Arvin Bernardo (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Glenn Rosario II (Briar) - Expected: 82:18

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

80:20

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Shane Martin (Briar) - Expected: 82:18

70:30

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Steven Suh (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Terra	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.16
R5	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.24
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-

Omar Candelaria

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs David Alvarez (Azalea) - Expected: 86:14

80:20

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Peyton Politewicz (Briar) - Expected: 82:18

0:100

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Ed Bracamontes (Enigma) - Expected: 2:98

70:30

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

80:20

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Marc Buchanan (Briar) - Expected: 82:18

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Alexander Erikson (Dromai) - Expected: 60:40

70:30

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Devon Porcher (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Azalea	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.03
R2	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.08
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	0%	Loss	✗	0.02	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.20
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.64
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-

Josh Lind

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

10:90

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Hayley Neighbors (Dorinthea) - Expected: 11:89

70:30

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Gabriel Montes (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

10:90

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Dorinthea) - Expected: 11:89

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Emerson Miller (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Mak Kallas (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Lexi) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Fai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.15
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.34
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.50
R6	Silver Age	Lexi	85%	Loss	✓	0.86	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Daylen Frehlick

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

80:20

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Briar) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset

70:30

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Christian Staver (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Fernando Valenzuela (Briar) - Expected: 82:18

80:20

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs John Kim (Briar) - Expected: 82:18

10:90

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Dorinthea) - Expected: 11:89

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Loss	✓	0.82	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R3	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.19
R5	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.23
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-

Conall Barrett

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Anthony Lanuzo (Tuffnut) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

10:90

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Dean Carr (Dorinthea) - Expected: 11:89

80:20

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jesse Perkins (Briar) - Expected: 82:18

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs kosei chetanna (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Nick Tiller (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Tuffnut	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.14
R4	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R5	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-

Arvin Bernardo

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Ian Hsu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

0:100

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Enigma) - Expected: 2:98

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Marcus Brown (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Michael Pitcher (Fai) - Expected: 47:53

10:90

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Leon Cassel (Dorinthea) - Expected: 11:89

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	0%	Loss	✗	0.02	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.88
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-

Philip Torres

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Neet (Terra) - Expected: 38:62

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs None ()

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs John Zapata (Iyslander) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs justin schlapkohl (Vynnset) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Fai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Terra	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.71
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Dominic Perez

dropped • 1-2-0

Meta

+0.3

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.4

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Aaron Meza (Fai) - Expected: 47:53

10:90

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Pham (Dorinthea) - Expected: 11:89

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (0.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.37
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-
R3	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.