Calling: San Diego 2026 - Azalea (SAGE)

Azalea

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

David Alvarez

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.3

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Omar Candelaria (Oldhim) - Expected: 14:86

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ynez Nevarez (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jared Del Rosario (Briar) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Mak Kallas (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Kyle Farrell (Briar) - Expected: 36:64

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs John Abanto (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs justin schlapkohl (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R2	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.63
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chris Sov

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Dean Carr (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Adam Saiewitz (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

JJ Lisonbee

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Liwag (Dromai) - Expected: 36:64

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Mak Kallas (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.