Bravo, Flattering Showman

Bravo, Flattering Showman

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

24th 7-4-0
64%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.6
Diff
Enigma
40:60
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Austin Kim (Enigma) - Expected: 41:59
Terra
80:20
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Neet (Terra) - Expected: 78:22
Kayo
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Evan Bridges (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50
Dorinthea
20:80
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Hayley Neighbors (Dorinthea) - Expected: 18:82
Briar
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs May Hayden (Briar) - Expected: 56:44
Fai
60:40
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Zach Huey (Fai) - Expected: 61:39
Kano
30:70
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kano) - Expected: 28:72
Vynnset
70:30
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs justin schlapkohl (Vynnset) - Expected: 70:30
Briar
55:45
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Clair (Briar) - Expected: 56:44
Dorinthea
20:80
R10 SAGE
Round 10: Loss vs Dean Carr (Dorinthea) - Expected: 18:82
Bravo, Flattering Showman
50:50
R11 SAGE
Round 11: Win vs Adam Saiewitz (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
38th 6-4-1
82%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
5.2
Surp
2.5
Diff
Briar
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Alejandro Burgueño Sanchez (Briar) - Expected: 56:44
Azalea
70:30
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Chris Sov (Azalea) - Expected: 70:30
Briar
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Fernando Valenzuela (Briar) - Expected: 56:44
Aurora
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Duane Flier (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Terra
80:20
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Draw vs Jacob Neet (Terra) - Expected: 78:22
Enigma
40:60
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Enrique Castro (Enigma) - Expected: 41:59
Kayo
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Dexter Simmons (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50
Briar
55:45
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Jason Ginn (Briar) - Expected: 56:44
Dorinthea
20:80
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Dorinthea) - Expected: 18:82
Vynnset
70:30
R10 SAGE
Round 10: Win vs justin schlapkohl (Vynnset) - Expected: 70:30
Bravo, Flattering Showman
50:50
R11 SAGE
Round 11: Loss vs Dalton Cameron (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
42nd 6-5-0
64%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Emmerson Montgomery ()
Dorinthea
!!
20:80
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Dorinthea) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
Briar
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Alex Nolan (Briar) - Expected: 56:44
Briar
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Camacho (Briar) - Expected: 56:44
Kano
30:70
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Pitcher (Kano) - Expected: 28:72
Dorinthea
20:80
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Hayley Neighbors (Dorinthea) - Expected: 18:82
Briar
55:45
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Sean Wilson (Briar) - Expected: 56:44
Briar
55:45
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Richard Truong (Briar) - Expected: 56:44
Enigma
40:60
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Ed Bracamontes (Enigma) - Expected: 41:59
Lexi
!
65:35
R10 SAGE
Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Lexi) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Terra
80:20
R11 SAGE
Round 11: Win vs David Pier (Terra) - Expected: 78:22
dropped 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
Rhinar
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Rhinar) - Expected: 48:52
Kayo
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Martinez (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50
Briar
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Sael Garcia (Briar) - Expected: 56:44
Kayo
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Gilmore (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50
Dorinthea
20:80
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Franche Tan (Dorinthea) - Expected: 18:82
Rhinar
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Rhinar) - Expected: 48:52
Fai
60:40
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Michael Dailey (Fai) - Expected: 61:39
dropped 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
Ira, Crimson Haze
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Peter Nguyen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 45:55
Ira, Crimson Haze
45:55
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Suryan Bhatia (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 45:55
Briar
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Sean Soderman (Briar) - Expected: 56:44
Kano
30:70
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Kano) - Expected: 28:72
Kayo
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50
Kayo
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs MOISES LOPEZ (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50
Lexi
!
65:35
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Lexi) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
dropped 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
Fai
!
60:40
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Millar (Fai) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Kayo
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Oscilio ‫ (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50
Kayo
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Kenneth Thomas (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50
Kano
!!
30:70
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Michael Murray (Kano) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Olympia
25:75
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs John Abanto (Olympia) - Expected: 27:73
Dorinthea
20:80
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas DeStasio (Dorinthea) - Expected: 18:82
dropped 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
Kano
30:70
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Turner (Kano) - Expected: 28:72
Briar
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Gavin Ceballos (Briar) - Expected: 56:44
Iyslander
40:60
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Morrow (Iyslander) - Expected: 40:60

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.