Calling: San Diego 2026 - Bravo, Flattering Showman (SAGE)

Bravo, Flattering Showman

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Dalton Cameron

24th • 7-4-0

64%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.6

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Austin Kim (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56

80:20

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jacob Neet (Terra) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Evan Bridges (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Hayley Neighbors (Dorinthea) - Expected: 17:83

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs May Hayden (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Zach Huey (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kano) - Expected: 28:72

70:30

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs justin schlapkohl (Vynnset) - Expected: 71:29

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Michael Clair (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

15:85

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Dean Carr (Dorinthea) - Expected: 17:83

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Adam Saiewitz (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

64% (7/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Terra	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.07
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.27
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.37
R6	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.40
R7	Silver Age	Kano	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R8	Silver Age	Vynnset	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.35
R9	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R10	Silver Age	Dorinthea	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R11	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Adam Saiewitz

38th • 6-4-1

82%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

5.1

Surp

2.4

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Alejandro Burgueño Sanchez (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

70:30

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Chris Sov (Azalea) - Expected: 71:29

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Fernando Valenzuela (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Duane Flier (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

80:20

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Draw vs Jacob Neet (Terra) - Expected: 78:22

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Enrique Castro (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Dexter Simmons (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jason Ginn (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

15:85

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Dorinthea) - Expected: 17:83

70:30

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs justin schlapkohl (Vynnset) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Dalton Cameron (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

82% (9/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	Silver Age	Azalea	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.09
R3	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.22
R4	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R5	Silver Age	Terra	80%	Draw	✓	0.78	-
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.65
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.63
R8	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R9	Silver Age	Dorinthea	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R10	Silver Age	Vynnset	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.44
R11	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Griffin Meyers

42nd • 6-5-0

64%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

4.9

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Emmerson Montgomery ()

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Dorinthea) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Alex Nolan (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Anthony Camacho (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Pitcher (Kano) - Expected: 28:72

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Hayley Neighbors (Dorinthea) - Expected: 17:83

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Sean Wilson (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Richard Truong (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Ed Bracamontes (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Lexi) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

80:20

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs David Pier (Terra) - Expected: 78:22

Meta Fit

64% (7/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	15%	Win	✗	0.83	0.47
R3	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.22
R4	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.30
R5	Silver Age	Kano	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.59
R9	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R10	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R11	Silver Age	Terra	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.36

Daniel Brouillet

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Rhinar) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Martinez (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Sael Garcia (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Luke Gilmore (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Franche Tan (Dorinthea) - Expected: 17:83

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Rhinar) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Michael Dailey (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.28
R3	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.35
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R6	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.92
R7	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.73

Rob Harechmak

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Peter Nguyen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Suryan Bhatia (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Sean Soderman (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Kano) - Expected: 28:72

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs MOISES LOPEZ (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Lexi) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.16
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.35
R4	Silver Age	Kano	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R7	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

David Lewis

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.5

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Millar (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Oscilio ‫ (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Kenneth Thomas (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Michael Murray (Kano) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs John Abanto (Olympia) - Expected: 29:71

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas DeStasio (Dorinthea) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Kano	30%	Win	✗	0.72	1.21
R5	Silver Age	Olympia	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Tony Nguyen

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.5

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Turner (Kano) - Expected: 28:72

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Gavin Ceballos (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Morrow (Iyslander) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.54
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.