Aurora at Calling: San Diego 2026

Aurora

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Duane Flier

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Mychael Gochee (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Nicholas DeStasio (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Adam Saiewitz (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Dan Meadors (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Grant Strom (Briar) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Xander Toepfer

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R3	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Legend

Performance Metrics