Enigma

Enigma

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

3rd 8-3-0
55%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
5.3
Surp
4.3
Diff
Briar
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Gavin Ceballos (Briar) - Expected: 43:57
Briar
45:55
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Grant Strom (Briar) - Expected: 43:57
Terra
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Aurora Kynkor (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Enigma
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Matt Rogers (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Dorinthea
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Hayley Neighbors (Dorinthea) - Expected: 55:45
Kayo
25:75
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77
Ira, Crimson Haze
!!
20:80
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Mystyq Gem Pulmano (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
Kayo
25:75
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77
Kano
55:45
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Ryan Pitcher (Kano) - Expected: 56:44
Dorinthea
55:45
R10 SAGE
Round 10: Win vs Colin Eriksen (Dorinthea) - Expected: 55:45
Kano
55:45
R11 SAGE
Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kano) - Expected: 56:44
13th 8-3-0
45%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.9
Surp
5.6
Diff
Florian
75:25
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Horspool (Florian) - Expected: 77:23
Oldhim
100:0
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Arvin Bernardo (Oldhim) - Expected: 98:2
Iyslander
85:15
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Garrett Johnson (Iyslander) - Expected: 84:16
Enigma
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Kayo
!!
25:75
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Zack Phillips (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Briar
45:55
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Richard Truong (Briar) - Expected: 43:57
Briar
45:55
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Clair (Briar) - Expected: 43:57
Briar
45:55
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Sean Wilson (Briar) - Expected: 43:57
Briar
45:55
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Feng (Briar) - Expected: 43:57
Dorinthea
55:45
R10 SAGE
Round 10: Win vs Franche Tan (Dorinthea) - Expected: 55:45
Kayo
!!
25:75
R11 SAGE
Round 11: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
18th 7-4-0
64%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
5.4
Surp
4.1
Diff
Bravo, Flattering Showman
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Dalton Cameron (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 56:44
Briar
45:55
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Jason Davis (Briar) - Expected: 43:57
Kano
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano) - Expected: 56:44
Florian
75:25
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Jiel Castillo (Florian) - Expected: 77:23
Dorinthea
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Colin Eriksen (Dorinthea) - Expected: 55:45
Dorinthea
55:45
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Dean Carr (Dorinthea) - Expected: 55:45
Kayo
25:75
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77
Ira, Crimson Haze
!!
20:80
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Mystyq Gem Pulmano (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
Briar
45:55
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Jason Ginn (Briar) - Expected: 43:57
Kano
55:45
R10 SAGE
Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kano) - Expected: 56:44
Kano
55:45
R11 SAGE
Round 11: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Kano) - Expected: 56:44
46th 5-6-0
45%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
Briar
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs sean Burke (Briar) - Expected: 43:57
Olympia
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs John Abanto (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Oldhim
100:0
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Omar Candelaria (Oldhim) - Expected: 98:2
Ira, Crimson Haze
20:80
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Mystyq Gem Pulmano (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 21:79
Dorinthea
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Dorinthea) - Expected: 55:45
Fai
!!
20:80
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Fai) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
Dorinthea
55:45
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Franche Tan (Dorinthea) - Expected: 55:45
Kayo
25:75
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Kenneth Thomas (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77
Bravo, Flattering Showman
55:45
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Griffin Meyers (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 56:44
Fai
20:80
R10 SAGE
Round 10: Loss vs Zach Huey (Fai) - Expected: 18:82
Briar
45:55
R11 SAGE
Round 11: Loss vs Sean Wilson (Briar) - Expected: 43:57
dropped 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
Enigma
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Thao (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Lexi
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Lexi) - Expected: 56:44
Briar
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Curtis Roth (Briar) - Expected: 43:57
Dorinthea
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Franche Tan (Dorinthea) - Expected: 55:45
Kayo
25:75
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Dexter Simmons (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77
Bravo, Flattering Showman
55:45
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Adam Saiewitz (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 56:44
dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
Enigma
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Enrique Castro (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Rhinar
!!
30:70
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Carlos Daniel Zamora Salazar (Rhinar) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Dash
65:35
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Vince Hung (Dash) - Expected: 65:35
Dorinthea
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Dorinthea) - Expected: 55:45
Kayo
25:75
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Steven Suh (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77
dropped 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
Kano
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Kano) - Expected: 56:44
Fai
20:80
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Dan Meadors (Fai) - Expected: 18:82
Lexi
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Bryce Douglas (Lexi) - Expected: 56:44
Briar
45:55
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Jared Del Rosario (Briar) - Expected: 43:57
Briar
45:55
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs sean Burke (Briar) - Expected: 43:57
dropped 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
Briar
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Cody Broten (Briar) - Expected: 43:57
Kano
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Eric Lui (Kano) - Expected: 56:44
Kayo
25:75
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Ryu San jose (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.