Kayo at Calling: San Diego 2026

Kayo

20 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Evan Bridges

5th • 9-2-0

82%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

5.0

Surp

4.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Ryu San jose (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Austin Chinn (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Dalton Cameron (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Omar Candelaria (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Dexter Simmons (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jacob Hawkinson (Lexi) - Expected: 67:33

75:25

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jude Cornett (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Hayley Neighbors (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

82% (9/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.12
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.63
R5	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.38
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.55
R7	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.36
R8	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.27
R9	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R10	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.89
R11	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.98

Tommy Buljan

10th • 8-3-0

55%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

5.5

Surp

4.5

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Sean Wilson (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Daylen Frehlick (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Ryan Alldredge (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Nick Tiller (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Christopher Maldonado (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Zach Huey (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Alex Nolan (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Franche Tan (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Michael Feng (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Suryan Bhatia (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

55% (6/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.31
R3	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.18
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R5	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.53
R6	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.43
R8	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.85
R9	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.80
R10	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.02

Steven Suh

15th • 8-3-0

64%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

5.3

Surp

5.2

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Curtis Roth (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Chandler Bushnell (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Clayton Bucholz (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Ben Rojas (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Andrew Thao (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jonathan Castro (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Marcus Brown (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Hayley Neighbors (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Nicholas Flavin (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Kenneth Thomas (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Dean Carr (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

64% (7/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.3 total deviation

Difficulty

5.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.23
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.17
R6	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.64
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.10
R8	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R9	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.80
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.91
R11	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.98

Christopher Iaali

16th • 7-4-0

82%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

5.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Mychael Gochee (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Taylor Morrow (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Devon Porcher (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Mystyq Gem Pulmano (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

75:25

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jude Cornett (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23

75:25

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Austin Kim (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

85:15

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Nuu) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

75:25

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

Meta Fit

82% (9/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.16
R3	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.32
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.46
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.20
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.24
R8	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R9	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R10	Silver Age	Nuu	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-
R11	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-

Luke Gilmore

22nd • 7-4-0

73%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

5.5

Surp

3.5

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Taylor Morrow (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Davis Owen (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Armando Aguilar (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Brouillet (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Christopher Tagg (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Lexi) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Alex Nolan (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Zach Huey (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Evan Herndon (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Anthony Camacho (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

73% (8/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.12
R3	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.32
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.37
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.45
R6	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R8	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.49
R9	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.69
R10	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.06
R11	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Kenneth Thomas

28th • 7-4-0

45%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

5.4

Surp

3.6

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs justin schlapkohl (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Hayley Neighbors (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs David Lewis (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Zayne Johnson (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

25:75

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Aurora Kynkor (Terra) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Clair (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jason Ginn (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

75:25

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Ed Bracamontes (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Alex Nolan (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Steven Suh (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Jacob Hawkinson (Lexi) - Expected: 67:33

Meta Fit

45% (5/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.28
R4	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.43
R5	Silver Age	Terra	25%	Win	✗	0.77	0.96
R6	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R8	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.27
R9	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.96
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.57

Dexter Simmons

36th • 6-5-0

73%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

4.8

Surp

2.0

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Fernando Valenzuela (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Sael Garcia (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Dean Carr (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

85:15

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Alexander Erikson (Dromai) - Expected: 84:16

75:25

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Enrique Castro (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Adam Saiewitz (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Evan Herndon (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Devon Porcher (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Lexi) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

25:75

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Neet (Terra) - Expected: 23:77

Meta Fit

73% (8/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.21
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.09
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.17
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.61
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.82
R10	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R11	Silver Age	Terra	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-

Devon Porcher

41st • 6-5-0

55%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

5.5

Surp

3.2

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Sanchez (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Michael Murray (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Nick Tiller (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Richard Truong (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Leon Cassel (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Omar Candelaria (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Anthony Camacho (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Dexter Simmons (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs May Hayden (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Mystyq Gem Pulmano (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

55% (6/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.15
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.27
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.54
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.10
R8	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.02

Christopher Tagg

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Ryan Brown (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Turner (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs John Abanto (Olympia) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Luke Gilmore (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Justin Liwag (Dromai) - Expected: 84:16

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs sean Burke (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.36
R4	Silver Age	Olympia	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.64
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.21
R7	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Nathan Crawford

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.4

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Ian Tayag (Olympia) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs John Zapata (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Pitcher (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

25:75

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Neet (Terra) - Expected: 23:77

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Rob Harechmak (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Fernando Valenzuela (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs MOISES LOPEZ (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Olympia	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.16
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Silver Age	Terra	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.00
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Zack Phillips

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.9

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jared Del Rosario (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs John Kim (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Anthony Pham (Lexi) - Expected: 67:33

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Rhinar) - Expected: 58:42

75:25

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Terra) - Expected: 23:77

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Nick Tiller (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.24
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.46
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-
R6	Silver Age	Terra	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

MOISES LOPEZ

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.8

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Lexi) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs sean Burke (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jiel Castillo (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jesse Perkins (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Matheo Franchot (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Rob Harechmak (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.84
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nick Tiller

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.8

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Anthony Pham (Lexi) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Flavin (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Devon Porcher (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Conall Barrett (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.48
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Will Stubbs

dropped • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs David Pier (Terra) - Expected: 23:77

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Adrian Mendez (Levia) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Maldonado (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Alldredge (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

25:75

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Ian Hsu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Bryce Douglas (Lexi) - Expected: 67:33

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Taylor Morrow (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Terra	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R2	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R6	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.49
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Ryu San jose

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Carlo Cuenca (Nuu) - Expected: 83:17

75:25

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Shereena Decano (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Maldonado (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jiel Castillo (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs May Hayden (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Nuu	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.09
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.19
R4	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.78
R6	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Gabriel Montes

dropped • 2-4-0

17%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Coyle (Terra) - Expected: 23:77

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Josh Lind (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Tagg (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Chandler Bushnell (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs justin schlapkohl (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs John Kim (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Terra	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.78
R5	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Ben Rojas

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.4

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Garrett Johnson (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Freedman (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

25:75

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Neet (Terra) - Expected: 23:77

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Steven Suh (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	Silver Age	Data Doll MKII	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Terra	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Jeremy Martinez

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Freedman (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Grant Strom (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Ian Tayag (Olympia) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Data Doll MKII	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Silver Age	Olympia	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Nicholas Tagg

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Branden Adams (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Montes (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Oscilio ‫

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Maldonado (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs David Lewis (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.