Battle Hardened: Valencia 2025 - Azalea (SAGE)

Azalea

16 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Yehor Zhukovskyi

14th • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.8

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Roman Pinegin (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Stefan Hilderink (Chane) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Denis Gergov (Azalea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Simone Pirota (Azalea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Ugnius Švedas (Azalea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Mariano Rivero (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.36
R3	Silver Age	Chane	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.25
R4	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Simone Pirota

31st • 4-3-0

14%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Mariano Rivero (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Kano) - Expected: 41:59

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Anton Figueroa (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Yehor Zhukovskyi (Azalea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Daniel Winning (Oldhim) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Kano	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.37
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.98
R5	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Win	✗	0.78	1.89
R7	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Nathanaël frederic

44th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.8

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Alberto Di Blasi (Chane) - Expected: 67:33

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Edward Catling (Kayo) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Rob Catton (Chane) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Emanuele Damiani (Chane) - Expected: 67:33

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Chane) - Expected: 67:33

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Silver Age	Chane	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.61
R4	Silver Age	Chane	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R5	Silver Age	Chane	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.42
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R7	Silver Age	Chane	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.58

Bruno Mendes

54th • 3-4-0

29%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.7

Diff

20:80

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Rafa Lopez Martinez (Oldhim) - Expected: 22:78

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Azalea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Kano) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Tam Pham (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Chane) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jasan araury Romero Gómez (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R2	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Kano	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.55
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.85
R5	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	Silver Age	Chane	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Florian Schmidt

57th • 3-4-0

29%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Gary White ()

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Adrien Kurek (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs diego santiago (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jordy Pereira (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Dayvid Kayal (Chane) - Expected: 67:33

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.54
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	Silver Age	Chane	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.50
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Jakub Koenner

59th • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.3

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Fredrik Mecklin (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jaka Burnik (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

20:80

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Oldhim) - Expected: 22:78

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs marco guerra (Betsy) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jose Alves (Azalea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Emanuele Damiani (Chane) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Chane) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.18
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R4	Silver Age	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Chane	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.50
R7	Silver Age	Chane	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

Tommaso Fabbri

60th • 3-4-0

29%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Stefan Hilderink (Chane) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Rob Catton (Chane) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Charlotte Little (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Daniel Correas (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Bastian Henneberg (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Chane	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Chane	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.85
R5	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.09
R7	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Ugnius Švedas

dropped • 4-2-0

33%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.2

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Guilherme Coutinho (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Petter Olsson (Chane) - Expected: 67:33

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Thomas Steinle (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Anton Figueroa (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Yehor Zhukovskyi (Azalea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.21
R2	Silver Age	Chane	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.19
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.63
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.14
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Adam Ray

dropped • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.6

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Andrea Milaneschi (Chane) - Expected: 67:33

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Bastian Henneberg (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Federico Lami (Chane) - Expected: 67:33

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jordy Pereira (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	Silver Age	Chane	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.29
R4	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.84
R5	Silver Age	Chane	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.49
R6	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Jose Alves

dropped • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.6

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Amadeus Landin (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Anton Figueroa (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Steffen Bauer (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Carlos Carrero (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Azalea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Mattia Vigliarolo (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R3	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R5	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Sebastiaan Knetsch

dropped • 3-2-0

20%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.3

Surp

2.4

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 27:73

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs David Alfonso (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Hadrien Ravelinghien (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Mariano Rivero (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jeroen Caspers (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.59
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.89
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.87

Denis Gergov

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Eric Lundh (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Hayden Rickard (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Yehor Zhukovskyi (Azalea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.76
R4	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Sammy Weckx

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.4

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Adrien Kurek (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Steffen Bauer (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Marc Bonnet (Chane) - Expected: 67:33

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Guilherme Coutinho (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Tam Pham (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Chane	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.35
R4	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.01
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Stefano Meoni

dropped • 1-2-0

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Piergiorgio Villani (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Matteo Brunori (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.84
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Alexander Hempelmann

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Simone Quartieri (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Bruno Mendes (Azalea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Marcello Mutalipassi

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Rob Catton (Chane) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Raphael Comet (Briar) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Chane	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.