Aurora
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
61st • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.5
Diff
25:75
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Koutsos (Briar) - Expected: 27:73
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Jose Alves (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Stefan Hilderink (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
25:75
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Fredrik Mecklin (Briar) - Expected: 27:73
Round 6: Win vs Guilherme Coutinho (Briar) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
25:75
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Briar) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Chane | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Briar | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Briar | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.