FaB-Results

Pleiades, Superstar at Battle Hardened: Edinburgh 2025

Pleiades, Superstar

Pleiades, Superstar

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kit Valentine
31st • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alfie Thomasson (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Spencer Lewis (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Osama MacDonald (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Liam Canning (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Milosz Sankowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Radoslav Ogoryalkov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 37:63
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Christopher O'Toole (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Puffin, Hightail
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Adam Harbinson (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Thomas Kidd
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gabor Kovacs (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Radoslav Ogoryalkov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 37:63
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Iain Brown (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Teague (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.