Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 8-1-0
78%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Marcus Ho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thaddius Ho (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kho Fong Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Prisse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Theodore Tan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Theodore Tan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yong Yi Chua (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
10th • 3-3-1
43%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Klein Tian (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Reynold Lam (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Round 3: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Marcus Ho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eugene Lim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Draw |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
18th • 2-4-1
57%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yong Yi Chua (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Reynold Lam (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Round 4: Win vs Jack Tong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs Elton Siang (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Elton Siang (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Draw |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Loss |
20th • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Cheong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Round 3: Loss vs Ojus Sharma (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kok Bin Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
Round 5: Win vs Marcus Ho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jayden Yap (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jayden Yap (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.