Dorinthea Ironsong at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Singapore
Dorinthea Ironsong
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
14th • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Lee (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcus Ho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ojus Sharma (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Baron Chan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Baron Chan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.