Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

1 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

9th 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Reynold Lam (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Kano, Dracai of Aether
!!
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs M Ramzi (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Baron Chan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Dorinthea Ironsong
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jayden Yap (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 72:28
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yong Yi Chua (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yong Yi Chua (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.