Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

5th 5-2-1
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.3
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eugene Lim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chung Si Chia (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brenna Tan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Katsu, the Wanderer
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eric Cheong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ojus Sharma (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ojus Sharma (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
dropped 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Baron Chan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kho Fong Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
Prism, Awakener of Sol
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yong Yi Chua (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.