Azalea, Ace in the Hole at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Singapore
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
15th • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Prisse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yong Yi Chua (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ian Lee (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Elton Siang (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Klein Tian (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Klein Tian (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.