Fang, Dracai of Blades at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Singapore
Fang, Dracai of Blades
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 7-1-0
38%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Chung Si Chia (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Farid Farhan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Klein Tian (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
Round 6: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Reynold Lam (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.