Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

2nd 6-2-1
44%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.7
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jayden Yap (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Brenna Tan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Reeve Chia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Cheong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ojus Sharma (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Farid Farhan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 83:17
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Reynold Lam (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
3rd 5-4-0
78%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Elton Siang (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 83:17
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
Katsu, the Wanderer
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 70:30
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Farid Farhan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 83:17
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Benjamin Prisse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Benjamin Prisse (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Katsu, the Wanderer
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 70:30
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.