Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at World Championship

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Brenna Tan

21st • 3-3-1

71%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kok Bin Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Theodore Tan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yong Yi Chua (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jack Tong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.11
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Draw	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86

Marcus Ho

22nd • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jack Tong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jayden Yap (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Baron Chan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kok Bin Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kok Bin Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.37
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.68
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.68

Loke Wai Jian

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Thaddius Ho (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Klein Tian (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs M Ramzi (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.