World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Singapore - Oscilio, Constella Intelligence (CC)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Brenna Tan

21st • 3-3-1

71%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kok Bin Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Theodore Tan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yong Yi Chua (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jack Tong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Draw	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86

Marcus Ho

22nd • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jack Tong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jayden Yap (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Baron Chan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kok Bin Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kok Bin Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.35
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84

Loke Wai Jian

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Thaddius Ho (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Klein Tian (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs M Ramzi (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.