Katsu, the Wanderer
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 5-2-1
50%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs M Ramzi (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eugene Lim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Yong Yi Chua (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 21:79
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chung Si Chia (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Reeve Chia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Reeve Chia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 20% | Draw |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.