Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
45th • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marco Casadio (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maxime Grondin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 60:40
Round 6: Win vs Jasan araury Romero Gómez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
55th • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Smith (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sergio Martínez ibañez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Raymond Mauge (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thymoté Senidre (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marco Casadio (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 33:67
Round 6: Win vs Quentin Castillo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alejandro López Lao (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
56th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rafael Durán (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Liam Holden (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Héctor Serino Pérez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Saguer Olivier (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Agusti Guerola Garcia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Folch (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
58th • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Josep Giné (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rafał Liwerski (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexandre Laloy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Vlad Margarit (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thymoté Senidre (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
77th • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Blut Pajuelo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jorge Vila Tomás (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Loss vs Saguer Olivier (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adolfo José Ito Castañeda (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Folch (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Maxime Grondin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jasan araury Romero Gómez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
79th • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.1
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ferran Riu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Finn Baird (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Agusti Guerola Garcia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Clàudia Gallart (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sergio Martínez ibañez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 33:67
Round 7: Win vs George Douglas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Alejandro Garcia Lliso (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Gubau Jové (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Grégory Lefebvre (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
Round 4: Win vs Maël Cousinier (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Smith (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Geoffroy Massard (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.