Dorinthea Ironsong at Battle Hardened Barcelona 2025 - L'H City - El Tesoro del Dragon Blanco
Dorinthea Ironsong
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
65th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ruben Exposito (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pablo Miguel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thibaut BONNEL (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Blut Pajuelo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs George Douglas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Round 6: Loss vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thymoté Senidre (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.