Jarl Vetreiði at Battle Hardened Barcelona 2025 - L'H City - El Tesoro del Dragon Blanco
Jarl Vetreiði
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 9-1-0
30%
Meta
+4.0
Perf
4.9
Surp
4.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Mario Donoso (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aurélien Huc (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Scandalis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Juan Chacon (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
Round 10: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
30% (3/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
16th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs IGNACIO JIMÉNEZ PÉREZ-BENAVIDES (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs George Jones (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rodrigo Peinado (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Liam Holden (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Round 6: Win vs Ernesto Silva (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
90:10
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jorge Vila Tomás (Dash I/O) - Expected: 89:11
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 90% | Win |
52nd • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arnau Prieto (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
5:95
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Josep Giné (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Finn Baird (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Edgar Herrera Ramos (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alejandro Abad (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 18:82
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
74th • 2-4-1
71%
Meta
-2.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs enzo costa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Héctor Serino Pérez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 89:11
Round 3: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Agusti Guerola Garcia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Florian Escande (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Salvador Alcaide Milia (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 75% | Draw |
78th • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pablo Fernández-Baldor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raymond Mauge (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
5:95
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Guillermo Regueiro (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alejandro Garcia Lliso (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aurélien Huc (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
Round 6: Loss vs Benoit Carrara (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Florian Escande (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Clàudia Gallart (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 60:40
5:95
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Moises Garcia (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs enzo costa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Quentin Castillo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Loss vs Andrés Gómez Rey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Dollé (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.