Arakni, Marionette
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
15th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Víctor Martínez Coín (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ferran Riu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs enzo costa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alex Smith (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.