Verdance, Thorn of the Rose at Battle Hardened Barcelona

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Arthur Trehet

2nd • 8-2-0

80%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

5.2

Surp

4.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ernesto Silva (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ruben Exposito (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Pablo Fernández-Baldor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs enzo costa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Cristian Codes (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Carlos Carrero (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (8/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.09
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.18
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.63
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.57
R8	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.73
R9	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.46
R10	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

enzo costa

21st • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.1

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Maël Cousinier (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Blut Pajuelo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alejandro López Lao (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 57:43

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Gabe Sher (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 73:27

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.09
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.27
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.46
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.32
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Alexandre Laloy

48th • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Correas (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 54:46

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nicolas Scandalis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Victor Sanchez (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67

85:15

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Paul Dollé (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Liam Holden (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ruben Exposito (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.13
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.18
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Evan Tanguy

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 54:46

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Florian Escande (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 82:18

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Miw Valle (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Adolfo José Ito Castañeda (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.11
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.