Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 8-2-0
70%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
5.3
Surp
5.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ernesto Silva (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ruben Exposito (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pablo Fernández-Baldor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs enzo costa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Win vs Cristian Codes (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs David Jose Iglesias Lopez (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47
Round 9: Win vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Round 10: Loss vs Carlos Carrero (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
21st • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maël Cousinier (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Blut Pajuelo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
Round 4: Win vs Alejandro López Lao (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gabe Sher (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
48th • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Correas (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicolas Scandalis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 28:72
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Victor Sanchez (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 81:19
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paul Dollé (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Liam Holden (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ruben Exposito (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 54:46
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Florian Escande (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Miw Valle (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Loss vs Adolfo José Ito Castañeda (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.