Kano, Dracai of Aether at Battle Hardened Barcelona 2025

Kano, Dracai of Aether

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Cristian Codes

11th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Siméon Gruel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 68:32

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thymoté Senidre (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Grigorian Tigran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 67:33

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Moises Garcia (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.08
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.17
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.48
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.42
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.61
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Alejandro López Lao

35th • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.3

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marco Casadio (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sergio Martínez ibañez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 67:33

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs enzo costa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jasan araury Romero Gómez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 67:33

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Rodrigo Peinado (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 68:32

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.08
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.25
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.42
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R7	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.55

Manuel Martin-Fernandez

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Siméon Gruel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.