Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
81st • 1-6-0
14%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aurélien Huc (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 16:84
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adolfo José Ito Castañeda (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Geoffroy Massard (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vlad Margarit (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 35:65
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mario Donoso (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 30:70
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Saguer Olivier (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Gubau Jové (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 18:82
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 20% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.