Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry at Battle Hardened: Kuala Lumpur 2024
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
13th • 5-1-1
57%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Fu Kah Deng (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Colin Li (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kenneth Vui Khen Liew (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 73:27
Round 6: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Farid Farhan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Draw |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
25th • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elliott Liew (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Euan Uzziel Pelobello (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Asyraf Noor (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs bill huynh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dale Low (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Genico Boy (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matt Tang (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
Round 5: Loss vs Narin Leelaporn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hafizullah Kamaruddin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 74:26
Round 2: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dale Low (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Bicknell (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alfian Poon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 72:28
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vivat Chotpurephong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Danial Faizsal (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kaiser Tan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vivat Chotpurephong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.