Kano, Dracai of Aether at Battle Hardened: Kuala Lumpur 2024

Kano, Dracai of Aether

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Elliott Liew

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Evan Bicknell (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 63:37

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs York kwok (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

10:90

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 8:92

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.13
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.68
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	10%	Loss	✗	0.08	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Jian Wei Tee

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.4

Diff

10:90

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 8:92

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Lim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	10%	Loss	✗	0.08	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.41
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Afiq Danial

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Farid Farhan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Narin Leelaporn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Euan Uzziel Pelobello (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.