Kano, Dracai of Aether at Battle Hardened: Kuala Lumpur 2024

Kano, Dracai of Aether

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Elliott Liew

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Evan Bicknell (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs York kwok (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 13:87

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.14
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.47
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Jian Wei Tee

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 13:87

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Lim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.47
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Afiq Danial

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Farid Farhan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Narin Leelaporn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Euan Uzziel Pelobello (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.