Aurora, Shooting Star
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 7-2-0
89%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
4.6
Surp
3.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Johnson Lim (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jamal Armand (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Willis Tay (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Carl Rivera (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Connor Leverton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Connor Leverton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
5th • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Narin Leelaporn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jake mccormack (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Winter Fong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Evan Bicknell (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kaiser Tan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
5th • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Denny Koh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aimran Kamarul Bahrin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Leonard Foo (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fu Kah Deng (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs bill huynh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jamal Armand (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nova Chan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nova Chan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
9th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Euan Uzziel Pelobello (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nova Chan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hariz Hamdan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joel Guzman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Benjamin Lim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
12th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hariz Hamdan (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Danial Faizsal (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Asyraf Noor (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ethan Mah (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
30th • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Colin Li (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Mah (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Afiq Danial (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs York kwok (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Genico Boy (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Shan Rievan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Hafizullah Kamaruddin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shan Rievan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs York kwok (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Euan Uzziel Pelobello (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Johnson Lim (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Willis Tay (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Asyraf Noor (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Carl Rivera (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Willis Tay (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jamal Armand (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aziz Riphat (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Johnson Lim (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Danial Faizsal (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Genico Boy (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.