Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kaiser Tan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27
10:90
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs bill huynh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 10:90
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christophe Tia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kai Liang Fong (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 10% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.