Kayo, Armed and Dangerous at Battle Hardened: Kuala Lumpur 2024
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-2-1
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fu Kah Deng (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Vivat Chotpurephong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 79:21
Round 3: Win vs Matt Tang (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Leonard Foo (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Draw |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.