Vynnset, Iron Maiden
1 players • Match results by round
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dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alfian Poon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christophe Tia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.