Viserai, Rune Blood at Battle Hardened: Kuala Lumpur 2024

Viserai, Rune Blood

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Joel Guzman

23rd • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs JIMMY NEO (Unknown)

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kai Liang Fong (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Denny Koh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Colin Li (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Danial Faizsal (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Aziz Riphat (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.11
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.94
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Evan Bicknell

dropped • 3-2-0

40%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.9

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Elliott Liew (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Theodore Tan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs CYK Lionel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jamal Armand (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.53
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.74
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

bill huynh

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

90:10

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Leonard Foo (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 90:10

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Clements (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nova Chan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.18
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	90%	Win	✓	0.10	0.06
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Jacob Clements

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dominik Däther (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Juan Kin Lim (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs bill huynh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kaiser Tan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.33
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-

CYK Lionel

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Shan Rievan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Evan Bicknell (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.64
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Aimran Kamarul Bahrin

dropped • 0-3-0

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nova Chan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.