Azalea, Ace in the Hole at Battle Hardened: Kuala Lumpur 2024
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Farid Farhan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joel Guzman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 21:79
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 45:55
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
15th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tabitha Boon (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alfian Poon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Elliott Liew (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Lim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 21:79
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
17th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Danial Faizsal (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 21:79
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Wei Jian Gan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Narin Leelaporn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Colin Li (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
31st • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 21:79
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kenneth Vui Khen Liew (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tabitha Boon (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Euan Uzziel Pelobello (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 75% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kenneth Vui Khen Liew (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Lim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aziz Riphat (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.