Battle Hardened: Kuala Lumpur 2024 - Azalea, Ace in the Hole (CC)

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Denny Koh

5th • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Farid Farhan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Joel Guzman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.15
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.38
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.58
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.84
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Kevin Gondowijoyo

15th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tabitha Boon (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alfian Poon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Elliott Liew (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Lim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.53
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Benjamin Lim

17th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Danial Faizsal (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Wei Jian Gan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Narin Leelaporn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Colin Li (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.40
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.07
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Genico Boy

31st • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kenneth Vui Khen Liew (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tabitha Boon (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Euan Uzziel Pelobello (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.60
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.75
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R7	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Wei Jian Gan

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.5

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kenneth Vui Khen Liew (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Lim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Aziz Riphat (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.25
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.23
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.