Ira, Scarlet Revenger at Battle Hardened: Kuala Lumpur 2024
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-2-1
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Keith Yong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Shan Rievan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dominik Däther (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.