Bravo, Star of the Show at Battle Hardened: Amsterdam

Bravo, Star of the Show

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong

5th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Benedikt Andrésson (Unknown)

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Kent O’Neal (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Liam Canning (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Colin Tang (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Liam Holden (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Majin Bae (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Richard Carr (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R8 LL

Round 8: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	LL	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	LL	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	LL	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Naib Mobassir

13th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs rangsiman sriphueak (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Austin Somers (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Liam Holden (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Joakim Gustafsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Pierre Canali (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Gary White (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	LL	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Connor Bryant

27th • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Saillour (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Colin Tang (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Rob Thoen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	LL	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Easton Douglas

29th • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs David Lopez Mejia (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Daniele Bigagli (Unknown)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Pierre Canali (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Wessel Groot (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Adam Opalski

50th • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Dan York (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	LL	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Lucas Oswald

53rd • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Majin Bae (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Will Rea (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Marcos Vassão (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Ernesto Silva (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Marcos Vassão

57th • 2-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Italo Molina (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs David Lopez Mejia (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Vairis Klavins (Unknown)

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Theo Maggs

dropped • 0-4-1

100%

Meta

-2.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Draw vs Baldur Guðmundsson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jack Canty

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Paul Mirande (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Michael Rutkowski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alwart Nijveld

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Richard Carr (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Ethan Oechsle (Unknown)

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	LL	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.