Briar, Warden of Thorns at Battle Hardened: Amsterdam

Briar, Warden of Thorns

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Mikey Dwyer

22nd • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.4

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Kenworthy (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Unknown)

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Gus Enger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Ethan Oechsle (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	LL	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Bogdan-Andrei Oros

42nd • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.9

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Theo Maggs (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Vincent Fasquel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	LL	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	LL	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Oliver Kuhrt

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Adrian Lee (Unknown)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Joris Verhelst (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	LL	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Benjamin Van donkelaar

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Christofer Lindholm (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Mikael GARCIA (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs George Jones (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.