Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Alwart Nijveld (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Melvin Lemke-Detlefsen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Barding (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Redington (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Bino Nolting (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
15:85
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 15:85
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 15% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 15% | Loss |
18th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.9
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Majin Bae (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Bino Nolting (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
15:85
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 15:85
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Ethan Oechsle (Unknown)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Italo Molina (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Joe Potter (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs David Calf (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
24th • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Matt Rogers (Unknown)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Rob Thoen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Joris Verhelst (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs John Zapata (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Unknown)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Liam Canning (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Wessel Groot (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Laura Wichert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Vincent Fasquel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Rob Catton (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
15:85
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 15:85
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Holden (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Rath (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Rob Catton (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
15:85
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Opalski (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 15:85
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Adrian Lee (Unknown)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Richard Carr (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Baldur Guðmundsson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Unknown)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Vincent Fasquel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Kent O’Neal (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
15:85
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 15:85
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.