Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 7-2-0
44%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.9
Diff
75:25
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 77:23
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Gary White (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Connor Bryant (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
5th • 7-1-0
62%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Konrad Weiss (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Jason Watkins (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 46:54
75:25
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Juan Chacon (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 77:23
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 46:54
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Richard Carr (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Unknown)
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Liam Holden (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Nova Chan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
12th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
75:25
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 77:23
35:65
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Magne Gjennestad (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Wessel Groot (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 44:56
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs David Calf (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Redington (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Theo Maggs (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Alwart Nijveld (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
Round 5: Loss vs Ville Schalin (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Dan York (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Lukas Horber (Unknown)
75:25
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Ville Schalin (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 77:23
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Mirande (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Majin Bae (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs George Jones (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.