Kano, Dracai of Aether at Battle Hardened: Amsterdam

Kano, Dracai of Aether

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Alexander Vore

1st • 9-1-0

100%

Meta

+4.0

Perf

5.0

Surp

5.3

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Adam Opalski (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs David Yau (Unknown)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Jack Canty (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Christofer Lindholm (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R8 LL

Round 8: Win vs Liam Holden (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R9 LL

Round 9: Win vs Austin Somers (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R10

R10 LL

Round 10: Win vs Nova Chan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (10/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.10
R2	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.30
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R5	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R6	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R7	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.70
R8	LL	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R9	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.90
R10	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Peter Buddensiek

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Adam Opalski (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Jose Alves (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tegan Smerdon

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Magne Gjennestad (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs João Gomes (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Liam Holden (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	LL	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	LL	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Patrick Paitz

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Rob Thoen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Peng Joon (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.