Chane, Bound by Shadow at Battle Hardened: Amsterdam
Chane, Bound by Shadow
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 7-2-0
89%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Savinien Castel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Jack Canty (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Emmanuel Onate (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Nova Chan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Italo Molina (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Pierre Canali (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs John Zapata (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 57:43
R9
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Nova Chan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
9th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Li (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Christofer Lindholm (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Olav Kamies (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Nova Chan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Paul Mirande (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
15th • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Pierre Canali (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 57:43
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Samuel Braben (Unknown)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Majin Bae (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
28th • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Canning (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Peng Joon (Unknown)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Emmanuel Onate (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Barding (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Christofer Lindholm (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
33rd • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Kent O’Neal (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Will Rea (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 57:43
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Magne Gjennestad (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Daniele Bigagli (Unknown)
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 57:43
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs David Yau (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
44th • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Joakim Gustafsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Karan Gill (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Ville Schalin (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 57:43
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Loss |
46th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Laura Wichert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Liam Holden (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Gary White (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Peng Joon (Unknown)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Benedikt Andrésson (Unknown)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Liam Canning (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Unknown)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
47th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Nicolas BROSSE (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Bino Nolting (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Adam Opalski (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Olav Kamies (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
Round 6: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
56th • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Adrian Lee (Unknown)
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Tov Hanssen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Theo Maggs (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Daniele Bigagli (Unknown)
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
58th • 1-6-0
71%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Unknown)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Gus Enger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Jose Alves (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Peng Joon (Unknown)
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Marcos Vassão (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Melvin Lemke-Detlefsen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Benedikt Andrésson (Unknown)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Wessel Groot (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Unknown)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Jude Cornett (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 57:43
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Gus Enger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Unknown)
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 57:43
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Joakim Gustafsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs John Zapata (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 57:43
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Laura Wichert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 57:43
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Michael Dalton (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.