Dromai, Ash Artist

Dromai, Ash Artist

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

20th 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Lexi, Livewire
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Olav Kamies (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Briar, Warden of Thorns
!
35:65
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Kano, Dracai of Aether
70:30
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 71:29
Chane, Bound by Shadow
25:75
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Paul Mirande (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Joakim Gustafsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Bravo, Star of the Show
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Connor Bryant (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 59:41
dropped 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Chane, Bound by Shadow
25:75
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
Lexi, Livewire
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Laura Wichert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Briar, Warden of Thorns
35:65
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63
Chane, Bound by Shadow
!!
25:75
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Kent O’Neal (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.