Iyslander, Stormbind
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
17th • 8-4-0
33%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs TC Fung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Malcolm Song (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Chu (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
Round 5: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Shao Lun Lu (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jose Lau (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
Round 8: Win vs Bun Ar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Eugene Phua (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 10: Win vs Steven Chen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
20th • 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wayne Tsui (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 左 承勳 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs TC Fung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 5: Win vs Worst Lexi SG Alfian Poon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Eric Cheong (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kelvin Law (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Eric Chu (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Wen Jin Hsu (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Michael Feng (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Steven Chen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
21st • 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carlos Manuel IV Sandico (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 陳 子豫 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marco Ng (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
Round 4: Win vs CHANG’HSIN-EN HSIN-EN (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bill Early (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs HO CHI-YUN (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Connor Leverton (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jason Chua (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs chiu shin kay (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ivan Teo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
38th • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.6
Surp
2.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Cu (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Win vs Peng Joon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jason Zhang (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
Round 6: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Po Yu Lin (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Chen Jeng-CJ (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jason Chua (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Liang Hsi Ho (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 6-5-0
55%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
5.0
Surp
2.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kingman Leung (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 62:38
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Win vs Jason Chua (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Husan Bang Chang (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Vincent Yuen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Round 6: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Wen Jin Hsu (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 8: Win vs CYK Lionel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Peng Joon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs ka chun chan (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Chen Jeng-CJ (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs David Tham (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Isaac Lee (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs tim Lin (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Husan Bang Chang (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cho Chiu Sit (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shao Lun Lu (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wei-Chueh Wang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hariz Hamdan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cheng Chun-You (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ramon Bernardino Del Rosario (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Hao-Han Chuang (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Lee (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs ZongRu Wu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nigel Teo (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Tai-Yuan Chen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs 莊 子毅 (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs LEE JUI-CHI (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 7: Loss vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs koh kah guan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chang Wei-Cheng (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hariz Hamdan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cho Chiu Sit (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Elijah Joseph Campos (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs TC Fung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Cu (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hao Yang Ng (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kingman Leung (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs To Cheng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Huang Weichehuang (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yu Teng Yeng (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs To Cheng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucinio De Guzman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 6: Win vs Clint Aranas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mo mo (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs rangsiman sriphueak (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hariz Hamdan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Steven Chen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wayne Tsui (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs OWN HSIANG YU (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ray lam (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Round 2: Loss vs Don Gabriel Oligar III Carino (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yi hsuan Cheng (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 4: Win vs JIMMY NEO (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs CHIU CHUNG-YI (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eugene C (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs LUO SHENG-HAN (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs FatGuy Poor (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Lee (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chen Wei Li (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 莊 子毅 (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jun Jek Wong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Chua (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bun Ar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Malabed (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mo mo (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jim Bryan Carino (Unknown)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shing Tak LI (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Carlos Manuel IV Sandico (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.