Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
49th • 7-5-0
42%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Clint Aranas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 12:88, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ethan Van Sant (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs HO CHI-YUN (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Nyx Lo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs peng seng (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 57:43
Round 7: Win vs Wang Chung Chi (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Eugene Phua (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 25:75
10:90
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 12:88
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs CHEN CHIH HAO (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Cho Chiu Sit (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jose Wong (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 10% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 10% | Loss |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-5-0
40%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Yugo Endo (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 柏安 陳 (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 25:75
Round 5: Win vs Shing Tak LI (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Denny Koh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs CHEN CHIH HAO (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kyrios Mak (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 25:75
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Hilmi Halim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43
10:90
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Shao Lun Lu (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 12:88
Meta Fit
40% (4/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 10% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nga Lam Tai (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wen Jin Hsu (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
10:90
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 12:88
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
10:90
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shu Murashima (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 12:88
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs FUNG CC (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 57:43
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 10% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 10% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
10:90
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Leong (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 12:88
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs CHANG CHIEH TING (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wei-Chueh Wang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Travis Wong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 25:75
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 25:75
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ian Chan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
10:90
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Isaac Teo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 12:88
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 10% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 10% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Mortal Absolute (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
10:90
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs HSUEH Eric (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 12:88
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs CHEN POHUA (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
10:90
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christian Catibayan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 12:88
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 10% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 10% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.