Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: Taipei 2023
Fai, Rising Rebellion
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
48th • 7-5-0
42%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.9
Surp
4.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Zhang (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Laurence Wong (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
Round 3: Win vs Shi Feng Chee (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Felix Gössel (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs peng seng (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bill Early (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Colin Tang (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 31:69
Round 11: Win vs Jose Wong (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Chuang TzuChi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
dropped • 6-6-0
50%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
5.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cyrus Wong (Unknown)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Abdul Hakim Green (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tze Yang Chen (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
Round 6: Win vs Isaac Teo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Steven Chen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs FatGuy Poor (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Vincent Yuen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Liang Hsi Ho (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs loki chan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs chiu shin kay (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs LUO SHENG-HAN (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jerry Mak (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yongzhao Zhang (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Round 6: Win vs Isaac Lee (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Man Him Cho (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs FUNG CC (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Edwin Poon (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rudy Ar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Po Yu Lin (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs SU WEI MING (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ethan Van Sant (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryota Okauchi (Unknown)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Peng Joon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Round 3: Win vs Chun Yin Jeffrey Wong (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs WAI KIT LO (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs DAO HUEI BAI (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs XIANG YONG (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wang Chung Chi (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 31:69
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Huang Yu Wei (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chun On Anson Wong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cheng Chun-You (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Clint Aranas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs YU CHUNG HUANG (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jerry Mak (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kelvin Law (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Pudding Tam (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs yu hong wang (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 31:69
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Zhang (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patryk Wasielewski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marlo Cruz (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wen Jin Hsu (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hayato Onuma (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yang-Chia Chang (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.