Dorinthea Ironsong at Calling: Taipei 2023
Dorinthea Ironsong
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
24th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 陳 子豫 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Clint Aranas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jiggy de Asis (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hao,Hsiang Chang (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yang-Chia Chang (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jackie wong (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Shao Lun Lu (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Eric Leong (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Justin Cu (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Steven Chen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Vincent Yuen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
40th • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.7
Surp
2.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Louis Tsoi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Win vs Po Yu Lin (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jose Wong (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rudy Ar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs FatGuy Poor (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs chiu shin kay (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
80:20
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Teddy Tai (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Peng Joon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kyrios Mak (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 42:58
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Hilmi Halim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-6-0
36%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
5.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucinio De Guzman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs CHEN CHIH HAO (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs YUTO NIIDA (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hao Yang Ng (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 78:22
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs CHIU CHUNG-YI (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Si-Jie Gao (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs 陳 子豫 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ray lam (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
Round 10: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
36% (4/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (5.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Loss |
| R11 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Armand Miguel Medina (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carlos Manuel IV Sandico (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cliff Wong (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Denny Koh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lorence Elison Chung (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs HSU WEI-CHUNG (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-1
29%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Wong Jun jian (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Win vs 左 承勳 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ray lam (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Xiang Ying (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chen Ming (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 42:58
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ma Kang shuo (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lin Po Kun (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Draw |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mo mo (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kang Zi Yang (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Louis Tsoi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Benjimin Chong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nyx Lo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Shing Tak LI (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs CHIU CHUNG-YI (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs YUTO NIIDA (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mavis Au (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Clint Aranas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jackie wong (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jiggy de Asis (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ZongRu Wu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Van Sant (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs XIANG YONG (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Van Sant (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs York kwok (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mo mo (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.