Calling: Taipei 2023 - Riptide, Lurker of the Deep (CC)

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

FatGuy Poor

dropped • 5-4-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ray lam (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs カイ Chen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Liu Bo Yu (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs YUTO NIIDA (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs GDPR-DEL-01/24/24-14:45:29 GDPR-DEL-01/24/24-14:45:29 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Chuang TzuChi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

15:85

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs loki chan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.16
R3	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.51
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.41
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.81
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R9	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

彭張銘

dropped • 0-3-1

75%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Vincent Yuen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Yau (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Chun On Anson Wong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jon Torres (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Draw	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

諸葛村夫

dropped • 0-4-0

25%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Travis Wong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 17:83

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lucinio De Guzman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 17:83

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hao Yang Ng (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Chen Wei Li (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.