Kano, Dracai of Aether
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
51st • 6-6-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
5.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kwai Leung Wan (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs HO CHI-YUN (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chang Wei-Cheng (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 培廷 吳 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs FUNG CC (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Steven Chen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs yu hong wang (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kyrios Mak (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Elise Dayanghirang (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs CHEN CHIH HAO (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (6.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 左 承勳 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Leong (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patryk Wasielewski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mortal Absolute (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs yen chun fu (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eric Chu (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Wayne Tsui (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jerry Mak (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Malabed (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs DAO HUEI BAI (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bill Early (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin III Padilla (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs ka chun chan (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 59:41
Round 7: Win vs Eric Cheong (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Cheong (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Worst Lexi SG Alfian Poon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Lo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 15:85
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kingman Leung (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.