Kano, Dracai of Aether at Calling: Taipei 2023
Kano, Dracai of Aether
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
51st • 6-6-0
83%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
5.8
Surp
2.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kwai Leung Wan (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs HO CHI-YUN (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chang Wei-Cheng (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 培廷 吳 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs FUNG CC (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Steven Chen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs yu hong wang (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kyrios Mak (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Elise Dayanghirang (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs CHEN CHIH HAO (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 左 承勳 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Leong (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patryk Wasielewski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mortal Absolute (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs yen chun fu (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eric Chu (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Wayne Tsui (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jerry Mak (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Malabed (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs DAO HUEI BAI (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bill Early (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin III Padilla (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs ka chun chan (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Eric Cheong (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Cheong (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Worst Lexi SG Alfian Poon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Lo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kingman Leung (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.