Calling: Taipei 2023 - Vynnset, Iron Maiden (CC)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Manson Hsiau

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nigel Teo (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs HSU WEI-CHUNG (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 15:85

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jun Jek Wong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jack Tang (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 61:39

15:85

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs kouji hamada (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 15:85

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ma Kang shuo (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.74
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.41
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.51
R6	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Yi hsuan Cheng

dropped • 0-7-0

43%

Meta

-2.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 30:70

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs TC Fung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Elijah Joseph Campos (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Wei-Chueh Wang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Chun On Anson Wong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs CHANG’HSIN-EN HSIN-EN (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 30:70

15:85

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Louis Tsoi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 15:85

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-

Ramon Bernardino Del Rosario

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs CHANG CHIEH TING (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lorence Elison Chung (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs hiroshi kanaya (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.49
R5	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.