Vynnset, Iron Maiden at Calling: Taipei 2023

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Manson Hsiau

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nigel Teo (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs HSU WEI-CHUNG (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jun Jek Wong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jack Tang (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs kouji hamada (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ma Kang shuo (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.74
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Yi hsuan Cheng

dropped • 0-7-0

57%

Meta

-2.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 30:70

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs TC Fung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Elijah Joseph Campos (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Wei-Chueh Wang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Chun On Anson Wong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs CHANG’HSIN-EN HSIN-EN (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Louis Tsoi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ramon Bernardino Del Rosario

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs CHANG CHIEH TING (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lorence Elison Chung (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs hiroshi kanaya (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.