Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn at Calling: Kyoto 2026
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 14-1-0
80%
Meta
+6.5
Perf
7.6
Surp
8.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs PANG CHEN (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuma Ishikura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs TAITO SUZUKI (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nobuhiro Yoshioka (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Carlo Ople (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 9: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Xingyu ZHOU (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 12: Win vs Law Wen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Justin Cu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38
Round 14: Win vs Law Wen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
R15
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (12/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+6.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 14 actual)
Surprise
7.6 total deviation
Difficulty
8.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R13 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R15 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
23rd • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs EIKI SUGAI (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs shota kajiro (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38
Round 5: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mason Galvan (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs K. Tanaka (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs David Yau (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
29th • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Isaac Katsakis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 大和 宮脇 (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Soya Okuda (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs LIN TING-WEI (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Harrison Callahan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Round 10: Win vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R11 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
47th • 7-5-0
83%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 結友 太田 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hajime Okada (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 渓 松井 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs RYUTA NAKADA (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryosuke Kono (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs yanao kento (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mathias W (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs masaru okuda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
Round 11: Win vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round 12: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 6-4-0
80%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kazuna Otsuka (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 佑紀 丸田 (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yu Zhang (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 結友 太田 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 10: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (8/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Henry Leskinen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 智行 内海 (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs K. Tanaka (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 7: Loss vs Kenichi Takayanagi (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs KOUKI TOYONARI (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kazuaki Fujimoto (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs KENT Lin (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 70:30
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ikumi Miyao (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Woodland (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kimura Akifumi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs ケイタ サト (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
Round 6: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryotarou Yamada (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
Round 3: Win vs Kazuya Nakata (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 守 山下 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs ryo inoue (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 結友 太田 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs shogo wakui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 明晃 伊原 (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs masaru okuda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hugo Bessho-Symm (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hiroki Goto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jakub Tepper (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs FUMIKA KANEKO (Unknown)
Round 2: Loss vs Edric Ramos (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cheng Chun-You (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 明晃 伊原 (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs masaru okuda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Hlaing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 一樹 日浦 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Loss vs 理央 鎌田 (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tomohisa OBASE (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Kanato Kusuoka (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yoshida Yoshinobu (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 小谷 康斗 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 憲佑 佐藤 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.