Puffin, Hightail at Calling: Kyoto 2026
Puffin, Hightail
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 6-5-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
5.5
Surp
2.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yu Zhang (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taiki Bamba (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kazuki Itabashi (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Hazuki Mori (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Marcus Mok (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Henry Leskinen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tsurufuji Wataru (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (11/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shohei Namikoshi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kazuyoshi Tokizane (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryo Tanaka (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Karel Doorman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 雅仁 富山 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yoneda Yusuke (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Clements (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs HyoungJun You (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nobuhiro Yoshioka (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Jared severn (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Satoshi Kawamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ryosuke Nakata (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Draw |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs toshiaki tamura (Malice, Domina of the Dead) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs shoji shoji (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yuuki Sakata (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 子謙 張 (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jack Tang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 幸一郎 青野 (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Malice, Domina of the Dead | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-1
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Keisuke Iwamura (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mathias W (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kazuna Otsuka (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Satoshi Kawamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Draw |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs ryuto nakagawa (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Junko Sota (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 三輪 佑樹 (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tanaka (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs DAIKI HIROSE (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Toru Iwatsubo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.